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1. Analysis of Economic costs and benefits of new naira redesign policy
Monetary policy is controlled by the CBN. It is a perfect example of a regulating body. The regulator may only take action if the advantages of the suggested course of action outweigh the disadvantages, which is the norm for making regulatory judgments like the one it is detailing concerning the redesign of the currency. In addition to financial and commercial costs and rewards, a complete cost-benefit analysis would also include social and political costs and rewards.
We should be aware that a nation’s currency has a significant impact on its economy. It decides on issues such as currency exchange rates, general price levels, total national income, output and productivity, and employment levels for labor and capital. and any leftover cash.
It is generally acknowledged that redesigning money may reduce counterfeiting, particularly when the security of the current design can be readily bypassed. Another reality is that public financing up to billions of Naira would be required for the design and fabrication of new currency. The production and design of this new Naira should be backed up by reliable information from CBN about the frequency of fake Nairas in circulation. According to the CBN’s most recent report, the 2020 Currency Report, 67,265 counterfeit notes for a total of N56.83 million were seized in 2020. Compared to 84,934 items valued N64.71 million in 2019, this reflects a 20.80% volume decline and a 12.18% value decrease. Globally, there are 100 counterfeit items for every million. In 2020, there were 13 pieces of fake currency for every million banknotes in circulation, down from 20 pieces for every million in 2019. This demonstrates that the problem of counterfeit money is not as pervasive as would need a change in the currency.
2. Impact of Naira Redesign on Entrepreneurial Business Activities in Nigeria
For instance, on Friday, February 3, 2023, enraged protesters destroyed a Wema bank branch in Ibadan due to a lack of naira notes and gasoline. Lack of both old and newly redesigned naira notes forced several POS operators to close their operations. Those who opened had exorbitant prices.
Already occurring kidnapping and banditry incidents add to the pressure on Nigerians to withdraw their hard-earned money from their bank accounts through a chaotic situation that could lead to widespread protests like the ENDSars. The situation with the new naira notes in Nigeria has demonstrated that the central bank’s leadership there was more focused on the benefits of the cashless policy than on the severe economic harm it would cause the populace.
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